UPDATE: 2025/03/02 08:04 EST BY BRENNAN KLEIN

Captain America Lands Smack Dab In The Middle Of Its $14.5-$15.5 Million Range

This article was originally written Saturday AM and has been updated Sunday AM with up-to-date box office projections (in bold), a full chart, and further analysis.

Captain America: Brave New World release kicked off over Presidents' Day weekend, debuting at No. 1 and holding that position the following weekend.

Per Variety, as of Sunday morning, Captain America: Brave New World is projected to end the weekend with a 3-day total of $15 million at the domestic box office. This is more than enough to earn it the No. 1 spot on the chart for the third weekend in a row, considering the fact that its only new release competition is the Woody Harrelson survival thriller Last Breath, which is projected to debut with just $7.8 million.

All in all, the entire weekend at the domestic box office is only projected to gross $56.3 million altogether. This is set to be the second-lowest weekend of 2025 so far, behind Super Bowl weekend's haul of $54.2 million, which included the grosses of titles such as the then-new releases Heart Eyes and Love Hurts and the holdover titles Dog Man, Companion, Mufasa: The Lion King, and more. Below, see the full Top 5 chart for the domestic box office this weekend:

Last Breath arriving on the chart at No. 2 has resulted in the previous weekend's No. 2 through No. 5 each moving down the chart one spot apiece. This includes the Osgood Perkins movie The Monkey, which is doing better than its original $5 million week 2 estimates with a drop of 55%, the family franchise threequel Paddington in Peru, which has dropped 31% in its third weekend, and DreamWorks' Dav Pilkey adaptation Dog Man, which fell 28% in its fifth.

With just one new movie charting, the only title to vacate the Top 5 is the Chinese animated import Ne Zha 2, which held the No. 5 spot for two consecutive weekends after debuting in domestic theaters. It has now dropped to No. 7 with $1.6 million, representing a 50% drop. While the movie recently sured Inside Out 2 as the highest-grossing animated release of all time worldwide, that total has largely come from its grosses in mainland China. While its chart placement reveals that North American audiences showed interest, it is far from a smash in the domestic marketplace.

What This Means For Captain America: Brave New World

It Still Has A Way To Climb

Even without adding the grosses from international markets for the weekend, which have yet to be tabulated, this roughly $15 million total from its third frame in the domestic marketplace pushes the Captain America: Brave New World box office past the $300 million milestone worldwide. This increases the distance between itself and the two lowest-grossing MCU movies, which are 2008's The Incredible Hulk ($265.6 million) and 2023's The Marvels ($199.7 million), the latter of which is a rare MCU bomb, having failed to earn back its reported budget of $374 million.

Captain America: Brave New World acts in many ways as a direct sequel to The Incredible Hulk, returning to characters and storylines introduced in the movie, which was only the second installment in the MCU.

However, the movie still needs to push if it hopes to break even. Its reported $180 million budget means that its break-even point is most likely somewhere around $450 million, because movies typically need to earn back two-and-a-half times their budgets. While it is entirely possible that it could hit this milestone, it will need to fight against the mixed Captain America: Brave New World reviews that have earned it the worst CinemaScore of the entire MCU (B-) and the third-worst Rotten Tomatoes score for an MCU feature (49%), only behind Eternals (47%) and Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania (46%).

Our Take On The Weekend Box Office

More Doldrums May Be On Their Way

It is perhaps not surprising that the box office has taken a dip, even with the presence of Captain America: Brave New World. The 97th Academy Awards ceremony is set to keep a significant chunk of the moviegoing audience at home on Sunday. However, more doldrums could be on the way, as March is dotted with releases that will likely range between disappointing and middling at the domestic box office, including the Jack Quaid action-comedy Novocaine and the live-action Snow White remake. It also remains to be seen how Bong Joon-ho's Parasite follow-up Mickey 17 performs in North America.

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Source: Variety